A Message from Fred Thompson
31 October 2008
If you don’t like this, be sure to vote on Tuesday.
31 October 2008
A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover that they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship.
Alexander Tyler, 1787
I never thought this day would happen. . . . I won’t have to work on puttin’ gas in my car. I won’t have to work at payin’ my mortgage.
You know. If I help him (Obama), he’s gonna help me.
Florida today – Poll gives McCain lead in Fla. early voting
Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.
“We’re thrilled at the record turnout so far,” said Democratic Party of Florida spokesman Eric Jotkoff. “It’s a clear indication that Democrats want to elect Barack Obama and Democrats up and down the ballot so that we can start creating good jobs, rebuilding our economy and getting our nation back on track.”
But party breakdowns for turnout aren’t the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.
And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats’ 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.
With the election still a week away, nearly a quarter of the Nevada electorate has already cast ballots, according to the secretary of state.
Through the end of voting Sunday, about 300,000 people had voted early statewide, a turnout of 24.9 percent of the state’s 1.2 million active voters.
…
Through Sunday, 55 percent of early voters were Democrats, 29 percent Republicans.
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Exit polling of early voters conducted by a local political consultant suggests a close presidential contest in the Silver State: Democratic nominee Barack Obama had the votes of 50 percent who had voted, while Republican nominee John McCain had 48 percent of the early vote.
RedState is confirming these trends in Nevada – I thought Nevada was supposed to be close?
So if we do a little math, this means 150,000 people have voted Obama, and 148,000 for McCain. But 165,000 of the voters are Democrat, while 87,000 are Republicans. For these results to be valid, at least 13,000 Democrats have to have voted to McCain, and up to 61,000. Assuming that the Independents are splitting 50/50, this gives us about a 37,000 Democrat crossover votes, or 12% of the electorate, assuming 100% support for McCain among Republicans. Put more realistically, the Republicans in Nevada have a 12% advantage in crossover support.
Amusingly, the article quotes Larry Sabato, then uses his prediction for Nevada:
Sabato, whose “Crystal Ball” tracks his election predictions, foresees Nevada going narrowly for Obama.
If that is going to happen, then the Dems need to have at least a 12% turnout advantage over the Republicans. Because if we get a 2004 even turnout between parties, McCain will win Nevada by 12 points, at the current rate. The only way this reserves is if the PUMAs all voted early, and Obama supporters are waiting for Nov. 4th.
Some may not know what a PUMA is since its a new term as of the 2008 DNC. Here is the definition from CitizenSugar Definition:PUMA
PUMA stands for “Party Unity My Ass,” The term originated in the comment section of a pro-Clinton blog, and later became the name of a political action committee protesting Barack Obama’s place as the Democratic nominee. The term later underwent a PC transformation and now officially means “People United Means Action.”
Look Closer
30 October 2008
I know its as cooky as finding 3 6’s in the P&G Moon and Stars vignette

or finding the Virgin Mary in a piece of toast

but its always fun to read between the lines and find something you never knew was there.

Obama Says We Need “Redistributive Change” and “Constitution is Fundamentally Flawed”.
27 October 2008
Watch below, Obama defines what he means by ‘CHANGE’ in this 2001 radio interview. When he says change he means wealth redistribution.Listen carefully as he discusses with the host and callers about how to enact socialist redistribution policies through legislation.
In this next video, Obama talks about how the constitution is fundamentally flawed. That the framers made a mistake in defining the democratic process. He thinks he is smarter than them, thinks you have too much freedom, and if elected he will socialize this country and take your opportunities away.
All of the foolish young people that are following him because of his celebrity need to understand this because they stand to lose the most from him. Electing Obama is a guarantee that your future will not be as free or as successfulas your parents generation.
What really happened in the Nevada Democratic caucuses?
24 October 2008
Remember all those complaints from the Obama campaign about casino caucuses in Nevada. Apparently there actually is two sides to a story. Below is a pdf of a letter sent from Hillary’s council to Jill Derby, Chair of the Nevada State Democratic Party in response to the Obama complaints.
Voter suppression complaint from Hillary Clinton\’s chief council to the Nevada Caucus Chair.
Which group does Obama think you are in?
24 October 2008
Its being reported that the Obama Campaign website has AVS (Address Verification Service) disabled. This means it will accept any real credit card from anywhere in the world regardless of the name and address given. This means anyone can use different names and submit as much money as they want to his campaign and there is no real way to track it. The only way would be to compare the last 4 digits of the card that can be stored but with millions of cards this is a near impossibility. I deal with many credit and EFT gateways daily in my work and believe me no legitimate business or organization would ever do this unless you really intimately know your customer base and want them to be able to use multiple addresses and nicknames for convenience or you are setting yourself up for losing your merchant account for excessive fraud reporting. This has been tested many times over at Hot Air blog and even with foreign credit cards account. If this is true, this is fraud on a massive scale.